Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 59.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.