Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
-0.08) 
0.02) 
