Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crotone win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 18.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crotone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Pordenone Calcio win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crotone in this match.
