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Serie B | Gameweek 38
May 10, 2021 at 1pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
LL

Empoli
2 - 1
Lecce

La Mantia (51'), Matos (68')
Haas (39'), Parisi (63'), Olivieri (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodriguez (24')
Meccariello (10'), Pisacane (42')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Empoli and Lecce.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawLecce
44.46%24.89%30.64%
Both teams to score 56.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.32%46.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.06%68.94%
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96%21.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.17%53.83%
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42%28.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.62%64.37%
Score Analysis
    Empoli 44.47%
    Lecce 30.64%
    Draw 24.88%
EmpoliDrawLecce
1-0 @ 9.37%
2-1 @ 9.15%
2-0 @ 7.31%
3-1 @ 4.76%
3-0 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 1.85%
4-0 @ 1.48%
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 44.47%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 6.01%
2-2 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.53%
1-2 @ 7.35%
0-2 @ 4.72%
1-3 @ 3.07%
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 1.97%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 30.64%

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