SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Cittadella |
| 46.05% | 24.38% | 29.57% |
| Both teams to score 57.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.07% | 44.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.72% | 67.28% |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.37% | 19.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.41% | 51.59% |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.57% | 28.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.82% | 64.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecce | Draw | Cittadella |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% 1-0 @ 9.09% 2-0 @ 7.4% 3-1 @ 5.05% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 3.18% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.05% Total : 46.05% | 1-1 @ 11.42% 2-2 @ 5.85% 0-0 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.37% | 1-2 @ 7.19% 0-1 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 4.42% 1-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.57% |
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