Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 54.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 22.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for an Ascoli win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
