Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juve Stabia win with a probability of 42.62%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 26.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juve Stabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.63%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juve Stabia would win this match.
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