Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
