Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Livorno had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Livorno win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
Result | ||
Livorno | Draw | Cremonese |
31.96% | 26.31% | 41.72% |
Both teams to score 52.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.78% | 52.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.07% | 73.93% |
Livorno Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.52% | 30.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.31% | 66.68% |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.25% | 24.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.7% | 59.3% |
Score Analysis |
Livorno | Draw | Cremonese |
1-0 @ 8.96% 2-1 @ 7.44% 2-0 @ 5.32% 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 2.06% Other @ 3.13% Total : 31.96% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.54% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 10.53% 1-2 @ 8.74% 0-2 @ 7.35% 1-3 @ 4.07% 0-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.58% Total : 41.72% |
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