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Serie B | Gameweek 2
Aug 11, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
CL

Spezia Calcio
3 - 1
Chievo

Galabinov (2'), Maggiore (50'), N'Zola (53')
Maggiore (18'), Mora (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Leverbe (90+3' pen.)
Dickmann (9'), Segre (59')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Spezia and AC Chievo Verona.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia Calcio win with a probability of 48.26%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for AC Chievo Verona had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia Calcio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for an AC Chievo Verona win it was 0-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia Calcio would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawAC Chievo Verona
48.26%26.64%25.1%
Both teams to score 47.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.13%56.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.2%77.8%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38%23.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.3%57.7%
AC Chievo Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.73%38.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.97%75.03%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 48.26%
    AC Chievo Verona 25.1%
    Draw 26.63%
SpeziaDrawAC Chievo Verona
1-0 @ 13.04%
2-0 @ 9.41%
2-1 @ 9.04%
3-0 @ 4.53%
3-1 @ 4.35%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-0 @ 1.63%
4-1 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 48.26%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 9.04%
2-2 @ 4.34%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.63%
0-1 @ 8.68%
1-2 @ 6.02%
0-2 @ 4.17%
1-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.39%
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 25.1%


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