SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia Calcio win with a probability of 48.26%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for AC Chievo Verona had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia Calcio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for an AC Chievo Verona win it was 0-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia Calcio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | AC Chievo Verona |
| 48.26% | 26.64% | 25.1% |
| Both teams to score 47.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.13% | 56.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.2% | 77.8% |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.38% | 23.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.3% | 57.7% |
| AC Chievo Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.73% | 38.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.97% | 75.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Spezia | Draw | AC Chievo Verona |
| 1-0 @ 13.04% 2-0 @ 9.41% 2-1 @ 9.04% 3-0 @ 4.53% 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-1 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.59% Total : 48.26% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 9.04% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 8.68% 1-2 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 4.17% 1-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.58% Total : 25.1% |
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