Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia Calcio win with a probability of 48.26%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for AC Chievo Verona had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia Calcio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for an AC Chievo Verona win it was 0-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia Calcio would win this match.