Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
