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Serie B | Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2021 at 1pm UK
 
FL

Monza
3 - 2
Frosinone

Augusto (70'), Ciurria (87'), Mazzitelli (90+2' pen.)
Marrone (18')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Garritano (53'), Zerbin (62')
Zerbin (20'), Boloca (45+1'), Ricci (84')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Monza and Frosinone.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawFrosinone
46.71%26.47%26.81%
Both teams to score 48.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.82%55.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.58%76.41%
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.4%23.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.32%57.68%
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.13%35.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.35%72.64%
Score Analysis
    Monza 46.71%
    Frosinone 26.81%
    Draw 26.47%
MonzaDrawFrosinone
1-0 @ 12.22%
2-1 @ 9.05%
2-0 @ 8.82%
3-1 @ 4.35%
3-0 @ 4.25%
3-2 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 46.71%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 8.47%
2-2 @ 4.64%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 8.68%
1-2 @ 6.43%
0-2 @ 4.45%
1-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.59%
0-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 26.81%

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