SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 69.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 11.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Monza in this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Reggiana |
| 69.12% | 18.91% | 11.97% |
| Both teams to score 46.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.89% | 45.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.54% | 67.45% |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.07% | 11.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.71% | 37.29% |
| Reggiana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.85% | 47.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.4% | 82.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Reggiana |
| 2-0 @ 12.71% 1-0 @ 11.95% 2-1 @ 9.56% 3-0 @ 9.01% 3-1 @ 6.78% 4-0 @ 4.79% 4-1 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 2.55% 5-0 @ 2.04% 5-1 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.23% Total : 69.11% | 1-1 @ 8.99% 0-0 @ 5.62% 2-2 @ 3.59% Other @ 0.71% Total : 18.91% | 0-1 @ 4.23% 1-2 @ 3.38% 0-2 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.87% Total : 11.97% |
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