Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 48.09%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 24.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
