Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 66.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.