Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pordenone Calcio win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pordenone Calcio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pordenone Calcio would win this match.
