Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Reggina win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
