Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.