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Serie B | Gameweek 12
Dec 15, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stadio Arechi
LL

Salernitana
1 - 1
Lecce

Capezzi (11')
Dziczek (29'), Djuric (31'), Tutino (74'), Giannetti (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mancosu (53' pen.)
Coda (29'), Stepinski (90+2')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Salernitana and Lecce.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
SalernitanaDrawLecce
37.94%24.81%37.25%
Both teams to score 58.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.23%44.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.87%67.13%
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.64%23.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.67%57.33%
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.27%23.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.14%57.86%
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 37.94%
    Lecce 37.25%
    Draw 24.81%
SalernitanaDrawLecce
2-1 @ 8.43%
1-0 @ 8.06%
2-0 @ 5.86%
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 2.84%
4-1 @ 1.49%
4-2 @ 1.07%
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 37.94%
1-1 @ 11.59%
2-2 @ 6.06%
0-0 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.81%
1-2 @ 8.34%
0-1 @ 7.97%
0-2 @ 5.74%
1-3 @ 4%
2-3 @ 2.91%
0-3 @ 2.75%
1-4 @ 1.44%
2-4 @ 1.05%
0-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 37.25%

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