Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.