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Serie B | Gameweek 11
Dec 12, 2020 at 1pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti
S

Brescia
3 - 1
Salernitana

van de Looi (3'), Spalek (21'), Bjarnason (76')
Ragusa (36'), Dessena (73')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Tutino (43' pen.)
Di Tacchio (48'), Anderson (62')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Brescia and Salernitana.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.

Result
BresciaDrawSalernitana
39.29%27.65%33.05%
Both teams to score 48.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.8%57.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.94%78.05%
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63%28.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89%64.11%
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.74%32.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.24%68.75%
Score Analysis
    Brescia 39.29%
    Salernitana 33.05%
    Draw 27.65%
BresciaDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 11.52%
2-1 @ 8.22%
2-0 @ 7.26%
3-1 @ 3.45%
3-0 @ 3.05%
3-2 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 1.09%
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 39.29%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.15%
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.65%
0-1 @ 10.35%
1-2 @ 7.38%
0-2 @ 5.86%
1-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 33.05%

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