Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 48.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 25.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a FeralpiSalo win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
-0.11) 
0.08) 
