Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
0.07) 
-0.01) 
