Serie B | Gameweek 4
Sep 4, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Marco Druso
Rover (35' pen., 63' pen.)
Davi (45'),
Pompetti (45+1'), Carretta (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Sudtirol and Pisa.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sudtirol would win this match.
| Result |
| Sudtirol | Draw | Pisa |
39.8% ( 2.97) | 27.97% ( 0.75) | 32.23% ( -3.72) |
| Both teams to score 47.39% ( -2.83) |
| 41.47% ( -3.29) | 58.53% ( 3.29) |
| 20.89% ( -2.64) | 79.11% ( 2.64) |
| 71.28% ( 0.14) | 28.72% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.45% ( 0.18) | 64.55% ( -0.18) |
| 66.48% ( -4.12) | 33.52% ( 4.12) |
