Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 68.14%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 12.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Brescia in this match.
0.06) 
-0.01) 
