Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Pisa win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.

Result
Pisa	Draw	Brescia
34.5% ( 2.1)	27.15% ( 0.57)	38.35% ( -2.67)

Both teams to score 50.29% (

-1.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.91% (

-1.87)

55.09% (

1.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.65% (

-1.56)

76.34% (

1.56)

Pisa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.76% (

0.44)

30.24% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.59% (

0.53)

66.4% (

-0.53)

Brescia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.09% (

-2.34)

27.9% (

2.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.48% (

-3.08)

63.51% (

3.08)

Score Analysis

Pisa 34.5%

Brescia 38.34%

Draw 27.15%

Pisa	Draw	Brescia
1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.82) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.56) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.31% Total : 34.5%	1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.15%	0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.4) 0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.42) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.42) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.22) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.22) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.2) Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.34%