Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 50.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 23.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
0.33) 
-0.08) 
