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Serie B | Gameweek 36
May 1, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Marco Druso

Sudtirol
4 - 3
Ternana

Odogwu (9'), Casiraghi (51', 75' pen.), El Kaouakibi (85')
Davi (13'), Kurtic (45+3'), Casiraghi (64')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Pereiro (23'), Luperini (33', 67')
Boloca (27'), Vitali (57'), Pereiro (70')
Boloca (60')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Sudtirol and Ternana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Modena 1-0 Sudtirol
Saturday, April 27 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ternana 0-1 Ascoli
Saturday, April 27 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sudtirol would win this match.

Result
SudtirolDrawTernana
39.28% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 27.18% (-0.029 -0.03) 33.54% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.05% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.67% (0.111 0.11)55.33% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.46% (0.092000000000002 0.09)76.54% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (0.043000000000006 0.04)27.49% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.02% (0.056999999999995 0.06)62.99% (-0.055 -0.05)
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.02% (0.085999999999999 0.09)30.98% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71% (0.1 0.1)67.29% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Sudtirol 39.27%
    Ternana 33.54%
    Draw 27.17%
SudtirolDrawTernana
1-0 @ 10.99% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.32% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.06% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 39.27%
1-1 @ 12.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.52% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.17%
0-1 @ 9.98% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.55% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.95% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 33.54%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Modena 1-0 Sudtirol
Saturday, April 27 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sudtirol 0-0 Cittadella
Saturday, April 20 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-1 Sudtirol
Saturday, April 13 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sudtirol 0-0 Parma
Saturday, April 6 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Como 2-0 Sudtirol
Monday, April 1 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sudtirol 3-0 Cremonese
Saturday, March 16 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ternana 0-1 Ascoli
Saturday, April 27 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Brescia 0-0 Ternana
Saturday, April 20 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cremonese 1-2 Ternana
Saturday, April 13 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ternana 0-0 Modena
Saturday, April 6 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sampdoria 4-1 Ternana
Monday, April 1 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ternana 1-0 Cosenza
Saturday, March 16 at 1pm in Serie B


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