Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 35.56%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (12.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ternana | Draw | Ascoli |
35.56% ( -0.08) | 29.63% ( 0) | 34.81% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 43.13% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.07% ( -0.01) | 63.93% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.87% ( -0.01) | 83.13% ( 0.01) |
Ternana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.93% ( -0.06) | 34.07% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.24% ( -0.07) | 70.76% ( 0.06) |
Ascoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.42% ( 0.05) | 34.58% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.7% ( 0.05) | 71.3% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Ternana | Draw | Ascoli |
1-0 @ 12.68% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 35.55% | 1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0) Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.63% | 0-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 34.81% |
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