Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
-0.23) 
0.07) 
