Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 54.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.06) 
