Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 22.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Pordenone Calcio win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ternana in this match.