Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 48.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 24.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.71%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Pordenone Calcio win it was 1-0 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
