Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 35.89%. A win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Pordenone Calcio win was 1-0 (11.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
