Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Pordenone Calcio win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.
