Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Vicenza had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Vicenza win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.