Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 50.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Vicenza had a probability of 24.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Vicenza win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ternana would win this match.
