Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.