Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Virtus Entella win with a probability of 36.04%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Virtus Entella win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.28%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 1-0 (12.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.