Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.