SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Domzale win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Aluminij had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Domzale win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Aluminij win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Domzale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aluminij | Draw | NK Domzale |
31.62% ( -0) | 24.63% ( 0) | 43.75% |
| Both teams to score 57.74% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.87% ( -0.01) | 45.13% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.52% ( -0) | 67.48% ( 0) |
| Aluminij Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.82% ( -0) | 27.18% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.42% ( -0) | 62.58% ( 0) |
| NK Domzale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.28% ( -0) | 20.72% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.67% ( -0) | 53.33% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aluminij | Draw | NK Domzale |
| 2-1 @ 7.52% 1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.78% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.01% Total : 31.62% | 1-1 @ 11.54% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 9.09% 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.98% 1-3 @ 4.77% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 3.11% 1-4 @ 1.88% 0-4 @ 1.44% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.75% |
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