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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aluminij win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Radomlje had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aluminij win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Radomlje win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aluminij | Draw | Radomlje |
44.98% ( 0.37) | 24.88% ( -0.07) | 30.14% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 56.14% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.11% ( 0.17) | 46.89% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.86% ( 0.16) | 69.14% ( -0.15) |
| Aluminij Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.1% ( 0.24) | 20.9% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.39% ( 0.37) | 53.61% ( -0.36) |
| Radomlje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% ( -0.12) | 29.03% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.06% ( -0.15) | 64.93% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aluminij | Draw | Radomlje |
| 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 44.98% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.14% |
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