SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for NK Domzale had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest NK Domzale win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NK Domzale | Draw | Maribor |
33.28% ( 0) | 25.47% ( 0) | 41.26% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 55.52% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.71% ( -0.01) | 48.29% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.56% ( -0.01) | 70.44% ( 0.01) |
| NK Domzale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.33% ( -0) | 27.67% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.77% ( -0) | 63.22% ( 0) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.76% ( -0.01) | 23.24% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.85% ( -0.01) | 57.15% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Domzale | Draw | Maribor |
| 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 5.31% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.28% | 1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.8% 0-2 @ 6.85% 1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0)2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.26% |
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