SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for NK Domzale had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a NK Domzale win it was 1-2 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | NK Domzale |
55.33% ( 0.01) | 22.42% ( -0.03) | 22.25% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.97% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.64% ( 0.14) | 42.36% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.24% ( 0.14) | 64.76% ( -0.14) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.8% ( 0.05) | 15.2% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.17% ( 0.1) | 43.83% ( -0.1) |
| NK Domzale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.18% ( 0.09) | 32.81% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.62% ( 0.1) | 69.38% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celje | Draw | NK Domzale |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% 1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.56% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 55.33% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.42% | 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 22.25% |
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