Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aluminij win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Rogaska had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aluminij win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Rogaska win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
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