SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 51.32%. A win for Aluminij had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Aluminij win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | Aluminij |
51.32% ( 0.01) | 23.54% ( -0) | 25.14% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.69% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.64% ( 0.01) | 44.36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.26% ( 0.01) | 66.73% ( -0.01) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.67% ( 0.01) | 17.32% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.3% ( 0.01) | 47.7% ( -0.02) |
| Aluminij Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.57% | 31.43% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.19% ( -0) | 67.81% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celje | Draw | Aluminij |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.66% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.89% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 3.85% Total : 51.32% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.53% | 1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 25.14% |
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