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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Aluminij had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Aluminij win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aluminij | Draw | Maribor |
30.87% ( -0.11) | 24.27% ( 0.03) | 44.86% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.65% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.23% ( -0.19) | 43.77% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.84% ( -0.19) | 66.16% ( 0.19) |
| Aluminij Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( -0.16) | 26.99% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.66% ( -0.21) | 62.34% ( 0.22) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.33% ( -0.04) | 19.67% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.35% ( -0.07) | 51.65% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aluminij | Draw | Maribor |
| 2-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.55% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 30.87% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 9.19% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.98% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.03% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 44.87% |
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