SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 66.16%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Radomlje had a probability of 13.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Radomlje win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | Radomlje |
66.16% ( -0.36) | 20.03% ( 0.19) | 13.81% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 48.27% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.32% ( -0.4) | 45.68% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32% ( -0.38) | 68% ( 0.38) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.07% ( -0.22) | 12.93% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.62% ( -0.46) | 39.39% ( 0.47) |
| Radomlje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.44% ( 0.02) | 44.57% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.42% ( 0.02) | 80.59% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celje | Draw | Radomlje |
| 2-0 @ 12.05% 1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.94% Total : 66.14% | 1-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 20.03% | 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.32% Total : 13.81% |
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