SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Maribor had a probability of 25.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Maribor win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | Maribor |
51.55% ( -0.02) | 23.16% ( 0) | 25.29% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.11% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.45% ( -0.02) | 42.55% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.05% ( -0.02) | 64.95% ( 0.02) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.42% ( -0.01) | 16.58% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.63% ( -0.02) | 46.37% ( 0.02) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.65% | 30.35% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.47% | 66.53% |
| Score Analysis |
| Celje | Draw | Maribor |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% 1-0 @ 9.04% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.12% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.87% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 51.55% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 25.29% |
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