SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Koper had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Koper win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Koper | Draw | Celje |
27.84% ( 0.01) | 25.29% ( 0) | 46.87% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.34% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.12% ( -0) | 49.88% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.13% | 71.87% ( -0) |
| Koper Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.77% ( 0.01) | 32.23% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.27% ( 0.01) | 68.72% ( -0.02) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% ( -0.01) | 21.29% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.76% ( -0.01) | 54.23% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Koper | Draw | Celje |
| 1-0 @ 7.77% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.4% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.57% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 27.84% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 10.61% 1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.21% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.79% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.23% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.85% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.64% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.47% Total : 46.86% |
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