SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 67.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Rogaska had a probability of 13.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Rogaska win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | Rogaska |
67.18% ( 0.21) | 19.13% ( -0.01) | 13.69% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 50.99% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.11% ( -0.41) | 41.89% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.71% ( -0.42) | 64.29% ( 0.42) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.47% ( -0.06) | 11.53% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.56% ( -0.14) | 36.43% ( 0.14) |
| Rogaska Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.63% ( -0.55) | 42.37% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.25% ( -0.48) | 78.75% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celje | Draw | Rogaska |
| 2-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.73% Total : 67.17% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.98% Total : 19.13% | 0-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.49% Total : 13.69% |
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