Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Koper win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Koper win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
-0.4) 
0.02) 
